WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
17-8 | Road
80
SAMFORD
BULLDOGSSAM
13-12 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
TERRIERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SAMFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Samford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAM)
WOF By 1-7 points
15.3%
WOF By 8-14 points
5.8%
SAM By 1-7 points
26.2%
SAM By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
57
WOFFORD
Samford
64
SAMFORD
Simulated Score
Wofford
72
WOFFORD
Samford
78
SAMFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
WOF @ SAM
80 - 97
Jan 21, 2026
SAM @ WOF
78 - 88
Feb 15, 2025
SAM @ WOF
76 - 68
Jan 25, 2025
WOF @ SAM
61 - 77
Feb 28, 2024
SAM @ WOF
69 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+72.8% more
Samford: 4.7
vs
Wofford: 2.7
Blocks (L5)
+32.5% more
Wofford: 3.9
vs
Samford: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+12.6% more
Wofford: 13.6
vs
Samford: 11.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.8%
Wofford: 80.7%
vs
Samford: 70.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
57.0
80
SAM Score
64.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 35.8
52.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.9 / 13.6
20.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.9
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 49.8
63.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 80.7
73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 34.3
37.0 / 21.0
Steals
4.7 / 2.7
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 10.0
13.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
SAM
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
SAM
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
SAM
18-11-1
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAM
WOF
SAM
WOF
ML
65%
20-11
39%
12-19
68%
21-10
61%
19-12
ATS
68%
21-10
58%
18-13
68%
21-10
61%
19-12
TTL
35%
11-20
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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