Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Golden Flashes EMU @ KENT

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

9-15  |  Road

91
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

17-7  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
EAGLES --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

99.5%

Golden Flashes Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EMU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)

EMU By 1-7 points

2.7%

EMU By 8-14 points

9.3%

KENT By 1-7 points

0.4%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
90
EASTERN MICHIGAN
64
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
72
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 EMU @ KENT 91 - 95
Jan 24, 2026 KENT @ EMU 76 - 75
Mar 7, 2025 EMU @ KENT 70 - 76
Feb 4, 2025 KENT @ EMU 70 - 49
Jan 6, 2024 KENT @ EMU 69 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +11.8% more
Eastern Michigan: 4.3 vs Kent State: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5) +9.7%
Eastern Michigan: 72.1% vs Kent State: 62.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Eastern Michigan: 29.9% vs Kent State: 26.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Eastern Michigan: 42.4% vs Kent State: 39.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 90.0 91
KENT Score 64.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.2 / 29.9 50.0 / 35.0
Assists 11.2 / 10.9 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.3 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.2 / 42.4 49.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 62.4 / 72.1 88.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 43.1 / 35.2 26.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.1 / 5.9 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 11.5 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
EMU
KENT
EMU
ML
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
ATS
65% 22-12
65% 20-11
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
TTL
44% 15-19
71% 22-9
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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