FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
17-6 | Road
86
GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
17-6 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
GATORS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
FLA By 1-7 points
0.0%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.0%
UGA By 1-7 points
0.4%
UGA By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
69
FLORIDA
Georgia
103
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Florida
72
FLORIDA
Georgia
75
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o165.5
Loss
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
FLA @ UGA
86 - 66
Jan 6, 2026
UGA @ FLA
77 - 92
Feb 25, 2025
FLA @ UGA
83 - 88
Jan 25, 2025
UGA @ FLA
59 - 89
Mar 14, 2024
UGA @ FLA
80 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.2% more
Georgia: 10.3
vs
Florida: 8.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Georgia: 33.1%
vs
Florida: 29.0%
Assists (L5)
+29.3% more
Florida: 19.2
vs
Georgia: 13.5
Blocks (L5)
+28.6% more
Florida: 6.1
vs
Georgia: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
69.0
86
UGA Score
103.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 29.0
28.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.5 / 19.2
8.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.3 / 6.1
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 48.8
35.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 70.3
73.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 46.3
35.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.4
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 8.4
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
UGA
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
FLA
UGA
FLA
ML
67%
22-11
77%
27-8
56%
18-14
63%
22-13
ATS
61%
20-13
69%
24-11
56%
18-14
63%
22-13
TTL
64%
21-12
63%
22-13
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
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