Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bluejays @ Blue Demons CREI @ DEP

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

13-11  |  Road

71
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 9:00 PM ET
Wintrust Arena
View Odds Details →

DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

12-12  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
0%
📊
BLUE DEMONS
100%
BLUEJAYS --
BLUE DEMONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Creighton)
BluejaysCREI (-3.5) 0 Blue DemonsDEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bluejays Cover

88.5%

Blue Demons Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CREI -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)

CREI By 1-7 points

20.1%

CREI By 8-14 points

27.2%

DEP By 1-7 points

8.0%

DEP By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
CREIGHTON
61
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
65
CREIGHTON
80
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bluejays Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Demons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bluejays (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Blue Demons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 DEP @ CREI 72 - 71
Feb 11, 2026 CREI @ DEP 71 - 72
Mar 13, 2025 DEP @ CREI 81 - 85
Feb 26, 2025 DEP @ CREI 65 - 75
Jan 21, 2025 CREI @ DEP 73 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +17.9%
Creighton: 74.2% vs DePaul: 56.2%
Turnovers (L5) +16.9% more
Creighton: 14.2 vs DePaul: 11.8
Assists (L5) +9.8% more
Creighton: 13.5 vs DePaul: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Creighton: 33.5% vs DePaul: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CREI Score 73.0 71
DEP Score 61.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 33.5 28.0 / 52.0
Assists 12.2 / 13.5 20.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.0 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 43.6 53.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 56.2 / 74.2 69.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 31.6 30.0 / 22.0
Steals 7.9 / 5.6 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 14.2 12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
16%MONEY84%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
DEP Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
CREI
DEP
CREI
ML
59% 19-13
52% 17-16
80% 24-6
70% 21-9
ATS
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
80% 24-6
70% 21-9
TTL
53% 17-15
52% 17-16
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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