Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blazers @ Golden Hurricane UAB @ TLSA

UAB

BLAZERSUAB

15-9  |  Road

68
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Reynolds Center
View Odds Details →

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

20-4  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
0%
📊
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
BLAZERS --
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (UAB)
BlazersUAB (-3.5) 0 Golden HurricaneTLSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blazers Cover

94.5%

Golden Hurricane Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAB -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)

UAB By 1-7 points

13.7%

UAB By 8-14 points

24.3%

TLSA By 1-7 points

4.0%

TLSA By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
86
UAB
70
TULSA
Simulated Score
64
UAB
75
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Hurricane Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blazers (-9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Golden Hurricane (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 UAB @ TLSA 68 - 63
Jan 18, 2026 TLSA @ UAB 99 - 77
Jan 29, 2025 UAB @ TLSA 78 - 68
Jan 4, 2025 TLSA @ UAB 51 - 83
Feb 11, 2024 UAB @ TLSA 70 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.1% more
UAB: 4.2 vs Tulsa: 2.1
Steals (L5) +36.2% more
UAB: 7.8 vs Tulsa: 5.0
Turnovers (L5) +20.9% more
Tulsa: 11.3 vs UAB: 9.4
Assists (L5) +10.8% more
Tulsa: 14.2 vs UAB: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UAB Score 86.0 68
TLSA Score 70.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 27.2 27.0 / 41.0
Assists 14.2 / 12.8 11.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.2 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 42.2 43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 65.1 67.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 40.1 41.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.0 / 7.8 4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 9.4 14.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
TLSA Advantage
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.8
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
UAB
TLSA
UAB
ML
66% 25-13
59% 19-13
64% 23-13
41% 13-19
ATS
74% 28-10
56% 18-14
64% 23-13
41% 13-19
TTL
58% 22-16
69% 22-10
100% 36-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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