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COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

14-10  |  Road

44
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 8:00 PM ET
United Supermarkets Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

17-6  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
0%
📊
RED RAIDERS
100%
BUFFALOES --
RED RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Colorado)
BuffaloesCOLO (-3.5) 0 Red RaidersTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buffaloes Cover

99.2%

Red Raiders Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLO -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

COLO By 1-7 points

4.0%

COLO By 8-14 points

12.2%

TTU By 1-7 points

0.6%

TTU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
83
COLORADO
59
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
65
COLORADO
74
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes (-13.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 COLO @ TTU 44 - 78
Jan 10, 2026 TTU @ COLO 73 - 71
Mar 5, 2025 COLO @ TTU 75 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.7% more
Texas Tech: 6.6 vs Colorado: 5.4
Blocks (L5) +16.3% more
Texas Tech: 2.6 vs Colorado: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +15.5% more
Texas Tech: 10.8 vs Colorado: 9.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Texas Tech: 43.5% vs Colorado: 35.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 83.0 44
TTU Score 59.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.5 / 35.7 40.0 / 24.0
Assists 16.2 / 15.2 17.0 / 5.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.3 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 47.2 45.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 68.0 71.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 33.1 47.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.4 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 9.4 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
TTU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
COLO
TTU
COLO
ML
62% 21-13
61% 20-13
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
ATS
65% 22-12
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
TTL
59% 20-14
45% 15-18
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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