Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Friars @ Pirates PROV @ HALL

PROVIDENCE

FRIARSPROV

11-13  |  Road

80
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:30 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

16-8  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
FRIARS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
FRIARS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
PROVIDENCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Providence)
FriarsPROV (-3.5) 0 PiratesHALL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Friars Cover

98.2%

Pirates Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PROV -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PROV)

PROV By 1-7 points

6.8%

PROV By 8-14 points

16.9%

HALL By 1-7 points

1.4%

HALL By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
88
PROVIDENCE
67
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
68
PROVIDENCE
74
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Friars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Friars (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 PROV @ HALL 80 - 87
Dec 19, 2025 HALL @ PROV 72 - 67
Jan 28, 2025 PROV @ HALL 69 - 67
Jan 11, 2025 HALL @ PROV 85 - 91
Jan 24, 2024 PROV @ HALL 67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +20.0% more
Providence: 40.7 vs Seton Hall: 32.6
Assists (L5) +13.9% more
Providence: 13.0 vs Seton Hall: 11.2
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Providence: 51.4% vs Seton Hall: 45.6%
Steals (L5) +95.3% more
Seton Hall: 9.1 vs Providence: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PROV Score 88.0 80
HALL Score 67.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.4 / 37.2 38.0 / 41.0
Assists 11.2 / 13.0 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 51.4 51.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 67.8 76.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 40.7 26.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.1 / 4.7 11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 13.0 5.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PROV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PROV
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
HALL
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PROV
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +8.5
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
PROV
HALL
PROV
ML
41% 13-19
59% 19-13
60% 18-12
67% 20-10
ATS
50% 16-16
50% 16-16
60% 18-12
67% 20-10
TTL
53% 17-15
44% 14-18
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 5 hours ago
NYT Mini Crossword Solutions for October 6: Tricky Clues Solved
cnet 2 days, 19 hours ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 6 hours ago
Ashton Daniels Erupts for Five Rushing Scores as Florida State C…
headtopics 4 days, 18 hours ago