UCONN
HUSKIESCONN
22-2 | Road
80
BUTLER
BULLDOGSBUT
13-11 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
HUSKIES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
BUTLER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUT +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUT)
CONN By 1-7 points
27.4%
CONN By 8-14 points
21.6%
BUT By 1-7 points
20.1%
BUT By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UConn
66
UCONN
Butler
62
BUTLER
Simulated Score
UConn
65
UCONN
Butler
78
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
CONN @ BUT
80 - 70
Dec 16, 2025
BUT @ CONN
60 - 79
Jan 21, 2025
BUT @ CONN
78 - 80
Dec 21, 2024
CONN @ BUT
78 - 74
Feb 6, 2024
BUT @ CONN
62 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.3% more
UConn: 4.7
vs
Butler: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+33.5% more
UConn: 18.2
vs
Butler: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
UConn: 52.1%
vs
Butler: 40.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.8%
UConn: 42.2%
vs
Butler: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CONN Score
66.0
80
BUT Score
62.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 42.2
38.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.1 / 18.2
21.0 / 22.0
Blocks
1.9 / 4.7
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
40.0 / 52.1
46.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 58.6
75.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 34.3
26.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.1
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.2
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
BUT
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
BUT
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
CONN
BUT
CONN
ML
62%
20-12
76%
29-9
65%
20-11
66%
23-12
ATS
56%
18-14
74%
28-10
65%
20-11
66%
23-12
TTL
50%
16-16
50%
19-19
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
Drake Men's Basketball Enters Year 2 Under Eric Henderson with R…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career