JACKSONVILLE
DOLPHINSJAX
9-16 | Road
62
STETSON
HATTERSSTET
8-17 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
0%
HATTERS
100%
DOLPHINS
--
HATTERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Jacksonville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JAX -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)
JAX By 1-7 points
15.3%
JAX By 8-14 points
25.3%
STET By 1-7 points
4.8%
STET By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville
64
JACKSONVILLE
Stetson
49
STETSON
Simulated Score
Jacksonville
69
JACKSONVILLE
Stetson
72
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hatters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Hatters (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
STET @ JAX
85 - 89
Feb 11, 2026
JAX @ STET
62 - 67
Feb 26, 2025
STET @ JAX
72 - 79
Feb 6, 2025
JAX @ STET
74 - 65
Mar 7, 2024
JAX @ STET
87 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+16.7% more
Jacksonville: 2.5
vs
Stetson: 2.1
Steals (L5)
+12.0% more
Jacksonville: 5.8
vs
Stetson: 5.1
Assists (L5)
+86.6% more
Stetson: 16.5
vs
Jacksonville: 8.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Stetson: 39.9%
vs
Jacksonville: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JAX Score
64.0
62
STET Score
49.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 29.3
37.0 / 18.0
Assists
16.5 / 8.8
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.5
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 46.5
46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 73.7
56.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 31.4
34.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.8
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 11.5
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
JAX
STET
JAX
ML
55%
18-15
74%
23-8
73%
24-9
60%
18-12
ATS
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
73%
24-9
61%
19-12
TTL
61%
20-13
65%
20-11
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
K-State Quarterback Avery Johnson Shatters School Record in Domi…
How Jaxon Kohler's Versatile Game Elevates BYU's Frontcourt
Former Michigan State Forward Jaxon Kohler Finds New Home at BYU
BYU Basketball: Late Offseason Big Man Options Emerge After Cour…
Michigan State's Jaxon Kohler looks on during a Big Ten Tourname…