SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
36-16 | Road
136
LOS ANGELES
LAKERSLAL
32-20 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
LAKERS
100%
SPURS
--
LAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
13.7%
SA By 8-14 points
24.3%
LAL By 1-7 points
4.0%
LAL By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
123
SAN ANTONIO
Los Angeles
107
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
Los Angeles
115
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lakers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Lakers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 10, 2026
SA @ LAL
136 - 108
Jan 7, 2026
LAL @ SA
91 - 107
Dec 10, 2025
SA @ LAL
132 - 119
Nov 5, 2025
SA @ LAL
116 - 118
Mar 17, 2025
SA @ LAL
109 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.2% more
San Antonio: 8.3
vs
Los Angeles: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+21.9% more
San Antonio: 50.8
vs
Los Angeles: 39.6
Assists (L5)
+13.9% more
San Antonio: 30.7
vs
Los Angeles: 26.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
San Antonio: 36.6%
vs
Los Angeles: 34.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
123.0
136
LAL Score
107.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 36.6
44.0 / 39.0
Assists
26.4 / 30.7
23.0 / 34.0
Blocks
4.2 / 8.3
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.6 / 51.1
48.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 74.2
75.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 50.8
34.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.8
7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
17.2 / 15.3
18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAL
57-35-0
(62.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAL
51-41-0
(55.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
SA
LAL
SA
ML
61%
68-43
60%
111-73
54%
49-42
58%
61-44
ATS
61%
67-43-1
58%
107-76-1
54%
49-42
58%
61-44
TTL
61%
66-43-2
74%
134-47-3
100%
91-0
100%
105-0
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