INDIANA
PACERSIND
13-40 | Road
137
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
34-19 | Home
134
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
0%
KNICKS
100%
PACERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
IND By 1-7 points
26.8%
IND By 8-14 points
24.3%
NY By 1-7 points
16.9%
NY By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
120
INDIANA
New York
114
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Indiana
108
INDIANA
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+11)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o225.0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u225.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
IND @ NY
110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026
NY @ IND
101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026
IND @ NY
137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025
NY @ IND
114 - 113
May 31, 2025
NY @ IND
108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.3% more
Indiana: 3.6
vs
New York: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+22.6% more
Indiana: 14.7
vs
New York: 11.4
Steals (L5)
+18.6% more
Indiana: 7.3
vs
New York: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+9.7% more
Indiana: 28.5
vs
New York: 25.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
120.0
137
NY Score
114.0
134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 36.0
30.0 / 40.0
Assists
25.7 / 28.5
33.0 / 30.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.6
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 47.1
50.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 79.9
74.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
44.3 / 39.6
46.0 / 43.0
Steals
5.9 / 7.3
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 14.7
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
IND
NY
IND
ML
61%
114-72
48%
47-50
56%
57-45
54%
45-38
ATS
67%
124-62
59%
57-40
56%
57-45
54%
45-38
TTL
72%
133-53
54%
52-45
100%
102-0
100%
83-0
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