Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Falcons CSU @ AF

COLORADO STATE

RAMSCSU

13-10  |  Road

91
FINAL
Tue, Feb 10 • 9:00 PM ET
Clune Arena
View Odds Details →

AIR FORCE

FALCONSAF

3-20  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
FALCONS
100%
RAMS --
FALCONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
AIR FORCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RamsCSU (-3.5) 0 FalconsAF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

46.0%

Falcons Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AF)

CSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

CSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AF By 1-7 points

24.3%

AF By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
54
COLORADO STATE
53
AIR FORCE
Simulated Score
70
COLORADO STATE
65
AIR FORCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Falcons (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Rams (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 10, 2026 CSU @ AF 91 - 74
Jan 20, 2026 AF @ CSU 52 - 81
Feb 25, 2025 CSU @ AF 77 - 55
Jan 28, 2025 AF @ CSU 58 - 79
Mar 9, 2024 CSU @ AF 82 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.1% more
Colorado State: 2.3 vs Air Force: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +24.3% more
Colorado State: 35.8 vs Air Force: 27.1
Turnovers (L5) +48.8% more
Air Force: 18.0 vs Colorado State: 12.1
Steals (L5) +14.4% more
Air Force: 4.9 vs Colorado State: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSU Score 54.0 91
AF Score 53.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 28.0 57.0 / 54.0
Assists 13.4 / 13.5 19.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.7 / 2.3 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 41.0 55.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 72.8 45.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 27.1 / 35.8 25.0 / 26.0
Steals 4.9 / 4.3 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 18.0 / 12.1 13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
AF
3-29-0 (9.4%)
Margin: -18.3 ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
AF
10-21-1 (32.3%)
Margin: -18.3 ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.7
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AF
CSU
AF
CSU
ML
81% 26-6
56% 19-15
62% 20-12
65% 20-11
ATS
69% 22-10
62% 21-13
62% 20-12
65% 20-11
TTL
69% 22-10
56% 19-15
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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