AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
RAMS
--
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)
URI By 1-7 points
27.4%
URI By 8-14 points
21.6%
GW By 1-7 points
20.1%
GW By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Rhode Island
69
RHODE ISLAND
George Washington
65
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Rhode Island
68
RHODE ISLAND
George Washington
72
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Revolutionaries
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Revolutionaries (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Revolutionaries (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 10, 2026
URI @ GW
70 - 75
Jan 8, 2025
GW @ URI
75 - 67
Feb 6, 2024
URI @ GW
88 - 65
Feb 22, 2023
GW @ URI
89 - 80
Feb 19, 2022
URI @ GW
61 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.0% more
Rhode Island: 8.4
vs
George Washington: 5.4
Blocks (L5)
+30.4% more
Rhode Island: 4.1
vs
George Washington: 2.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Rhode Island: 43.5%
vs
George Washington: 41.6%
Assists (L5)
+33.1% more
George Washington: 15.4
vs
Rhode Island: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
URI Score
69.0
70
GW Score
65.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 35.1
29.0 / 25.0
Assists
15.4 / 11.6
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 43.5
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 70.7
70.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 31.4
39.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.4 / 8.4
11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 11.8
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
GW
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
GW
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
URI
GW
URI
ML
63%
22-13
62%
20-12
60%
21-14
59%
19-13
ATS
69%
24-11
56%
18-14
60%
21-14
59%
19-13
TTL
60%
21-14
56%
18-14
100%
35-0
100%
32-0