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DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

21-2  |  Road

70
FINAL
Tue, Feb 10 • 9:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

9-15  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
BLUE DEVILS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+14.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Blue DevilsDUKE (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Devils Cover

8.1%

Panthers Cover

91.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PITT +14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

DUKE By 1-7 points

16.9%

DUKE By 8-14 points

26.2%

PITT By 1-7 points

5.8%

PITT By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
96
DUKE
82
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
65
DUKE
78
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: +14.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 10, 2026 DUKE @ PITT 70 - 54
Jan 7, 2025 PITT @ DUKE 47 - 76
Jan 20, 2024 PITT @ DUKE 80 - 76
Jan 9, 2024 DUKE @ PITT 75 - 53
Mar 9, 2023 PITT @ DUKE 69 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.4% more
Duke: 7.8 vs Pittsburgh: 4.8
Assists (L5) +13.8% more
Duke: 14.8 vs Pittsburgh: 12.7
Field Goal % (L5) +10.9%
Duke: 48.5% vs Pittsburgh: 37.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +9.0%
Duke: 75.5% vs Pittsburgh: 66.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DUKE Score 96.0 70
PITT Score 82.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 32.0 27.0 / 39.0
Assists 12.7 / 14.8 14.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.7 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 37.7 / 48.5 39.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 75.5 38.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 37.6 23.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.8 / 7.8 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 9.1 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DUKE Advantage
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
PITT
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
DUKE
PITT
DUKE
ML
58% 19-14
71% 27-11
45% 15-18
73% 24-9
ATS
64% 21-12
79% 30-8
45% 15-18
73% 24-9
TTL
61% 20-13
47% 18-20
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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