Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Hawks FOR @ JOES

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

12-12  |  Road

68
FINAL
Tue, Feb 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

15-9  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
HAWKS
0%
RAMS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Saint Joseph's)
RamsFOR (-3.5) 0 HawksJOES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

11.5%

Hawks Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JOES -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JOES)

FOR By 1-7 points

8.0%

FOR By 8-14 points

2.2%

JOES By 1-7 points

20.1%

JOES By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
57
FORDHAM
69
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
68
FORDHAM
76
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 10, 2026 FOR @ JOES 68 - 64
Mar 1, 2025 JOES @ FOR 90 - 76
Mar 2, 2024 FOR @ JOES 69 - 82
Jan 7, 2023 JOES @ FOR 54 - 66
Feb 5, 2022 FOR @ JOES 69 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +114.6% more
Saint Joseph's: 5.3 vs Fordham: 2.5
Turnovers (L5) +20.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 13.6 vs Fordham: 11.3
Rebounding (L5) +16.4% more
Saint Joseph's: 38.1 vs Fordham: 32.7
Assists (L5) +10.6% more
Saint Joseph's: 16.1 vs Fordham: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FOR Score 57.0 68
JOES Score 69.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 29.5 37.0 / 25.0
Assists 16.1 / 14.6 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.3 / 2.5 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 42.2 40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 66.2 / 75.4 55.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 32.7 35.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.5 / 9.0 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 11.3 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
FOR
JOES
FOR
ML
51% 18-17
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
59% 19-13
ATS
60% 21-14
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
59% 19-13
TTL
54% 19-16
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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