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OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

16-7  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Feb 10 • 9:00 PM ET
Desert Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

12-12  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
📊
SUN DEVILS
100%
COWBOYS --
SUN DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Oklahoma State)
CowboysOKST (-3.5) 0 Sun DevilsASU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

99.5%

Sun Devils Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKST -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

OKST By 1-7 points

2.7%

OKST By 8-14 points

9.3%

ASU By 1-7 points

0.4%

ASU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
95
OKLAHOMA STATE
69
ARIZONA STATE
Simulated Score
70
OKLAHOMA STATE
76
ARIZONA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cowboys Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sun Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cowboys (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Sun Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o163.5 Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 10, 2026 OKST @ ASU 76 - 85
Feb 9, 2025 ASU @ OKST 73 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +13.9% more
Oklahoma State: 7.8 vs Arizona State: 6.7
Rebounding (L5) +13.1% more
Oklahoma State: 35.1 vs Arizona State: 30.5
Turnovers (L5) +9.9% more
Oklahoma State: 10.7 vs Arizona State: 9.6
Blocks (L5) +60.2% more
Arizona State: 4.2 vs Oklahoma State: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 95.0 76
ASU Score 69.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 31.1 24.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.3 / 13.8 10.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.6 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 40.3 40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 61.5 80.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 35.1 45.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.8 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 10.7 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ASU
OKST
ASU
OKST
ML
52% 17-16
60% 21-14
68% 21-10
66% 21-11
ATS
52% 17-16
57% 20-15
68% 21-10
66% 21-11
TTL
64% 21-12
57% 20-15
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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