PURDUE
BOILERMAKERSPUR
19-4 | Road
80
NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
21-2 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
BOILERMAKERS
100%
CORNHUSKERS
0%
BOILERMAKERS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
202.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
PUR By 1-7 points
16.9%
PUR By 8-14 points
6.8%
NEB By 1-7 points
26.8%
NEB By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Purdue
98
PURDUE
Nebraska
104
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Purdue
67
PURDUE
Nebraska
82
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 202.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
PUR @ NEB
74 - 58
Feb 10, 2026
PUR @ NEB
80 - 77
Jan 12, 2025
NEB @ PUR
68 - 104
Jan 9, 2024
PUR @ NEB
72 - 88
Jan 13, 2023
NEB @ PUR
55 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+124.1% more
Nebraska: 2.6
vs
Purdue: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+77.6% more
Nebraska: 8.2
vs
Purdue: 4.6
Assists (L5)
+10.9% more
Nebraska: 18.4
vs
Purdue: 16.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.7%
Nebraska: 84.9%
vs
Purdue: 74.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PUR Score
98.0
80
NEB Score
104.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 35.9
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
18.4 / 16.6
21.0 / 21.0
Blocks
2.6 / 1.2
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 49.8
44.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
84.9 / 74.2
65.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 31.8
37.0 / 54.0
Steals
8.2 / 4.6
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
7.7 / 9.8
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PUR
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PUR
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
PUR
NEB
PUR
ML
51%
18-17
67%
26-13
62%
21-13
66%
25-13
ATS
54%
19-16
64%
25-14
62%
21-13
66%
25-13
TTL
63%
22-13
51%
20-19
100%
34-0
100%
38-0
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