PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
30-22 | Road
118
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
25-28 | Home
135
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
76ERS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
PHI By 1-7 points
18.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
8.0%
POR By 1-7 points
27.2%
POR By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Portland
117
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
108
PHILADELPHIA
Portland
120
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.5
Loss
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
POR @ PHI
103 - 109
Feb 9, 2026
PHI @ POR
118 - 135
Mar 3, 2025
POR @ PHI
119 - 102
Dec 30, 2024
PHI @ POR
125 - 103
Jan 29, 2024
PHI @ POR
104 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.3% more
Portland: 4.8
vs
Philadelphia: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+29.6% more
Portland: 18.1
vs
Philadelphia: 14.0
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
Portland: 28.0
vs
Philadelphia: 24.3
Rebounding (L5)
+9.2% more
Portland: 47.3
vs
Philadelphia: 43.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
112.0
118
POR Score
117.0
135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 34.6
41.0 / 37.0
Assists
28.0 / 24.3
36.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.5
7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 48.8
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 82.7
76.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 43.3
51.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.8 / 8.7
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
18.1 / 14.0
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
PHI
POR
PHI
ML
53%
56-49
63%
69-40
55%
49-40
48%
45-48
ATS
62%
65-39-1
65%
71-38
55%
49-40
48%
45-48
TTL
56%
58-46-1
55%
60-49
100%
89-0
100%
93-0
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