INCARNATE WORD
CARDINALSUIW
10-14 | Road
62
SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
7-17 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
LIONS
0%
CARDINALS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (SE Louisiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SELA -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)
UIW By 1-7 points
2.2%
UIW By 8-14 points
0.4%
SELA By 1-7 points
9.3%
SELA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Incarnate Word
50
INCARNATE WORD
SE Louisiana
69
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
Incarnate Word
68
INCARNATE WORD
SE Louisiana
75
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
UIW @ SELA
62 - 74
Dec 30, 2025
SELA @ UIW
70 - 79
Mar 9, 2025
UIW @ SELA
71 - 67
Feb 8, 2025
SELA @ UIW
71 - 66
Jan 25, 2025
UIW @ SELA
63 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.3% more
SE Louisiana: 4.9
vs
Incarnate Word: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+13.5% more
SE Louisiana: 12.1
vs
Incarnate Word: 10.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.3% more
Incarnate Word: 16.8
vs
SE Louisiana: 13.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.1%
Incarnate Word: 69.4%
vs
SE Louisiana: 57.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIW Score
50.0
62
SELA Score
69.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 40.5
33.0 / 37.0
Assists
12.1 / 10.7
13.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.4
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 46.2
49.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
57.3 / 69.4
63.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 33.1
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.9 / 4.0
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 16.8
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
SELA
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
UIW
SELA
UIW
ML
70%
21-9
47%
14-16
66%
19-10
76%
22-7
ATS
60%
18-12
53%
16-14
67%
20-10
77%
23-7
TTL
70%
21-9
60%
18-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Michigan State's Exhibition Win Reveals Key Player Development a…
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
Lions Edge Jets 31-24: Gibbs' Hat Trick, TeSlaa's Breakout, and …
Lions' Draft Radar: Five College Standouts to Watch in Week 4
Lions Edge Saints in Overtime Thriller: Winners and Losers from …