Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hornets @ Eagles DSU @ NCCU

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

6-16  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Feb 9 • 8:00 PM ET
McDougald-McLendon Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

8-13  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
HORNETS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (North Carolina Central)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 EaglesNCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

38.2%

Eagles Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCCU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCCU)

DSU By 1-7 points

21.6%

DSU By 8-14 points

10.7%

NCCU By 1-7 points

27.2%

NCCU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
59
DELAWARE STATE
62
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Simulated Score
67
DELAWARE STATE
75
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Loss
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 DSU @ NCCU 53 - 59
Feb 28, 2026 NCCU @ DSU 74 - 60
Feb 9, 2026 DSU @ NCCU 63 - 72
Mar 13, 2025 NCCU @ DSU 79 - 77
Feb 24, 2025 NCCU @ DSU 84 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +151.4% more
North Carolina Central: 4.5 vs Delaware State: 1.8
Assists (L5) +44.1% more
North Carolina Central: 13.8 vs Delaware State: 9.6
Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
North Carolina Central: 48.3% vs Delaware State: 38.2%
Steals (L5) +9.8% more
North Carolina Central: 8.4 vs Delaware State: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 59.0 63
NCCU Score 62.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 30.1 33.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.8 / 9.6 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.5 / 1.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 38.2 53.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 73.0 76.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 26.5 / 28.7 27.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.7 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 13.8 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
NCCU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCCU
DSU
NCCU
DSU
ML
65% 20-11
60% 18-12
81% 22-5
75% 18-6
ATS
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
81% 22-5
72% 18-7
TTL
55% 17-14
57% 17-13
100% 27-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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