Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Bison YALE @ HOW

YALE

BULLDOGSYALE

17-4  |  Road

87
FINAL
Mon, Feb 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

15-9  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
BISON
100%
BULLDOGS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Yale)
BulldogsYALE (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

98.6%

Bison Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around YALE -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)

YALE By 1-7 points

5.8%

YALE By 8-14 points

15.3%

HOW By 1-7 points

1.1%

HOW By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
80
YALE
58
HOWARD
Simulated Score
76
YALE
71
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 9, 2026 YALE @ HOW 87 - 81
Jan 1, 2025 HOW @ YALE 65 - 93
Jan 3, 2024 YALE @ HOW 86 - 78
Nov 30, 2022 HOW @ YALE 40 - 86
Jan 20, 2020 YALE @ HOW 89 - 75
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.7%
Yale: 44.5% vs Howard: 35.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Yale: 51.1% vs Howard: 47.2%
Blocks (L5) +147.3% more
Howard: 5.1 vs Yale: 2.1
Steals (L5) +100.7% more
Howard: 8.5 vs Yale: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
YALE Score 80.0 87
HOW Score 58.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 44.5 45.0 / 33.0
Assists 18.4 / 16.2 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.1 / 2.1 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 51.1 48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 77.7 / 76.7 68.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 33.0 28.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.5 / 4.2 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 9.2 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE Advantage
24-7-0 (77.4%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
HOW
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +1.1
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
YALE
HOW
YALE
ML
59% 20-14
48% 15-16
71% 22-9
58% 18-13
ATS
59% 20-14
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
58% 18-13
TTL
62% 21-13
61% 19-12
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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