AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
PRIVATEERS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
PRIVATEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
AMCC By 1-7 points
24.3%
AMCC By 8-14 points
26.8%
UNO By 1-7 points
12.2%
UNO By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
74
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
New Orleans
65
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
75
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
New Orleans
68
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
UNO @ AMCC
61 - 74
Feb 9, 2026
AMCC @ UNO
78 - 84
Dec 31, 2025
UNO @ AMCC
69 - 83
Mar 3, 2025
UNO @ AMCC
62 - 95
Jan 6, 2025
AMCC @ UNO
97 - 83
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 39.1%
vs
New Orleans: 34.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 49.7%
vs
New Orleans: 46.6%
Blocks (L5)
+89.4% more
New Orleans: 3.6
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 1.9
Turnovers (L5)
+16.6% more
New Orleans: 14.5
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score
74.0
78
UNO Score
65.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 39.1
22.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.1
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 49.7
43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 72.9
75.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 32.1
40.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.2
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 12.5
22.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
UNO
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
AMCC
UNO
AMCC
ML
52%
16-15
70%
21-9
57%
17-13
67%
18-9
ATS
52%
16-15
67%
20-10
57%
17-13
67%
18-9
TTL
58%
18-13
60%
18-12
100%
30-0
100%
27-0