HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
8-16 | Road
69
MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
19-5 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
COWBOYS
0%
HUSKIES
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MCN -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
HCU By 1-7 points
0.8%
HCU By 8-14 points
0.1%
MCN By 1-7 points
4.8%
MCN By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
56
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
McNeese
79
MCNEESE
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
65
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
McNeese
80
MCNEESE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
HCU @ MCN
69 - 73
Dec 15, 2025
MCN @ HCU
78 - 68
Jan 13, 2025
MCN @ HCU
75 - 59
Mar 4, 2024
HCU @ MCN
69 - 87
Feb 12, 2024
MCN @ HCU
105 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+45.1% more
McNeese: 10.6
vs
Houston Christian: 7.3
Blocks (L5)
+28.5% more
McNeese: 5.4
vs
Houston Christian: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+23.6% more
McNeese: 14.4
vs
Houston Christian: 11.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
McNeese: 45.2%
vs
Houston Christian: 38.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
56.0
69
MCN Score
79.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 31.0
30.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.4 / 11.6
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.2
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 38.6
54.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 76.0
71.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 30.0
28.0 / 30.0
Steals
10.6 / 7.3
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 11.6
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MCN
HCU
MCN
HCU
ML
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
88%
28-4
81%
25-6
ATS
76%
25-8
58%
18-13
88%
28-4
81%
26-6
TTL
42%
14-19
68%
21-10
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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