Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Timberwolves LAC @ MIN

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

24-27  |  Road

115
FINAL
Sun, Feb 8 • 3:00 PM ET
Target Center
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

32-21  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
CLIPPERS --
TIMBERWOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 TimberwolvesMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

30.9%

Timberwolves Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

LAC By 1-7 points

27.2%

LAC By 8-14 points

23.0%

MIN By 1-7 points

18.6%

MIN By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
109
LA
104
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
116
LA
121
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Timberwolves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Timberwolves (+9) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Timberwolves (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u223.0 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim u223.0 Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 MIN @ LAC 128 - 153
Feb 26, 2026 MIN @ LAC 94 - 88
Feb 8, 2026 LAC @ MIN 115 - 96
Dec 6, 2025 LAC @ MIN 106 - 109
Jan 6, 2025 LAC @ MIN 106 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.8% more
LA: 16.9 vs Minnesota: 11.9
Free Throw % (L5) +6.3%
LA: 80.0% vs Minnesota: 73.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
LA: 51.0% vs Minnesota: 47.1%
Blocks (L5) +42.0% more
Minnesota: 6.4 vs LA: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 109.0 115
MIN Score 104.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 35.4 24.0 / 52.0
Assists 24.5 / 22.8 17.0 / 25.0
Blocks 6.4 / 4.5 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 51.0 45.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 80.0 64.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 45.5 / 41.1 41.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.1 / 5.9 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 16.9 21.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAC
MIN
LAC
ML
54% 63-53
60% 59-40
54% 50-43
55% 45-37
ATS
58% 67-49
66% 65-33-1
54% 50-43
55% 45-37
TTL
63% 72-43-1
59% 58-40-1
100% 93-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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