Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Celtics NY @ BOS

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

33-19  |  Road

111
FINAL
Sun, Feb 8 • 12:30 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

34-18  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
CELTICS
100%
KNICKS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

46.0%

Celtics Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

NY By 1-7 points

26.2%

NY By 8-14 points

16.9%

BOS By 1-7 points

24.3%

BOS By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
120
NEW YORK
119
BOSTON
Simulated Score
108
NEW YORK
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Celtics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celtics (+3) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Celtics (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o212.5 Loss
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Sim u212.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 BOS @ NY 106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026 NY @ BOS 111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025 NY @ BOS 117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025 BOS @ NY 95 - 105
May 16, 2025 BOS @ NY 81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.3% more
New York: 27.1 vs Boston: 22.7
Free Throw % (L5) +4.9%
New York: 80.5% vs Boston: 75.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
New York: 34.8% vs Boston: 32.9%
Blocks (L5) +122.4% more
Boston: 5.5 vs New York: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 120.0 111
BOS Score 119.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 34.8 17.0 / 40.0
Assists 22.7 / 27.1 22.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.5 / 2.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 44.6 37.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 80.5 93.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 50.4 / 43.4 44.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.4 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 13.1 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NY
BOS
NY
ML
57% 61-46
61% 114-72
53% 47-41
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 61-43-3
67% 124-62
53% 47-41
56% 57-45
TTL
56% 60-47
72% 133-53
100% 88-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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