AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
BLAZERS
100%
OWLS
--
BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICE -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
RICE By 1-7 points
0.0%
RICE By 8-14 points
0.0%
UAB By 1-7 points
0.0%
UAB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
86
RICE
UAB
36
UAB
Simulated Score
Rice
69
RICE
UAB
81
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 8, 2026
RICE @ UAB
65 - 71
Feb 19, 2025
UAB @ RICE
90 - 89
Feb 21, 2024
RICE @ UAB
94 - 71
Mar 9, 2023
RICE @ UAB
60 - 87
Feb 23, 2023
RICE @ UAB
57 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+29.0% more
Rice: 14.9
vs
UAB: 10.6
Blocks (L5)
+17.9% more
Rice: 4.6
vs
UAB: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+10.9% more
Rice: 43.4
vs
UAB: 38.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Rice: 35.5%
vs
UAB: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
86.0
65
UAB Score
36.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.3 / 35.5
27.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.7 / 12.8
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.6
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 42.6
41.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
66.7 / 67.9
62.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 43.4
43.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.7 / 7.1
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 14.9
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
RICE
UAB
RICE
ML
59%
19-13
53%
16-14
41%
13-19
53%
16-14
ATS
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
41%
13-19
53%
16-14
TTL
69%
22-10
77%
23-7
100%
32-0
100%
30-0