WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
14-9 | Road
75
TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
13-9 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
GREEN WAVE
0%
SHOCKERS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Tulane)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TULN -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)
WICH By 1-7 points
2.2%
WICH By 8-14 points
0.4%
TULN By 1-7 points
9.3%
TULN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Wichita State
70
WICHITA STATE
Tulane
89
TULANE
Simulated Score
Wichita State
68
WICHITA STATE
Tulane
72
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 8, 2026
WICH @ TULN
75 - 61
Feb 23, 2025
TULN @ WICH
67 - 78
Mar 8, 2024
WICH @ TULN
75 - 85
Mar 10, 2023
WICH @ TULN
76 - 82
Feb 26, 2023
WICH @ TULN
83 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+31.0% more
Tulane: 11.5
vs
Wichita State: 8.8
Assists (L5)
+17.8% more
Tulane: 14.1
vs
Wichita State: 12.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.2%
Tulane: 76.5%
vs
Wichita State: 60.3%
Steals (L5)
+9.8% more
Tulane: 8.2
vs
Wichita State: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WICH Score
70.0
75
TULN Score
89.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 35.1
18.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.1 / 12.0
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.5
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 45.4
36.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 60.3
83.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
27.0 / 37.6
31.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.5
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 8.8
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
WICH
TULN
WICH
ML
70%
23-10
61%
22-14
47%
15-17
68%
23-11
ATS
62%
20-12-1
64%
23-13
47%
15-17
68%
23-11
TTL
55%
18-15
69%
25-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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