Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Mountaineers TTU @ WVU

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

16-6  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sun, Feb 8 • 1:00 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

15-8  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
RED RAIDERS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (West Virginia)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

0.2%

Mountaineers Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WVU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)

TTU By 1-7 points

0.1%

TTU By 8-14 points

0.0%

WVU By 1-7 points

1.4%

WVU By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
67
TEXAS TECH
96
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
65
TEXAS TECH
72
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 8, 2026 TTU @ WVU 70 - 63
Feb 22, 2025 WVU @ TTU 51 - 73
Mar 2, 2024 TTU @ WVU 81 - 70
Mar 8, 2023 TTU @ WVU 62 - 78
Feb 18, 2023 TTU @ WVU 78 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.5% more
West Virginia: 12.3 vs Texas Tech: 10.7
Steals (L5) +26.0% more
Texas Tech: 6.9 vs West Virginia: 5.1
Assists (L5) +21.9% more
Texas Tech: 15.8 vs West Virginia: 12.3
Blocks (L5) +20.9% more
Texas Tech: 2.0 vs West Virginia: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 67.0 70
WVU Score 96.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 38.3 9.0 / 54.0
Assists 12.3 / 15.8 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.6 / 2.0 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 44.8 44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 63.0 / 66.8 57.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 35.4 34.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.1 / 6.9 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 10.7 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
WVU
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
TTU
WVU
TTU
ML
63% 22-13
62% 21-13
76% 26-8
71% 22-9
ATS
60% 21-14
65% 22-12
76% 26-8
71% 22-9
TTL
40% 14-21
59% 20-14
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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