MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
8-14 | Road
67
MINNESOTA
GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN
11-12 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
TERRAPINS
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
TERRAPINS
--
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MD -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)
MD By 1-7 points
5.8%
MD By 8-14 points
15.3%
MINN By 1-7 points
1.1%
MINN By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland
74
MARYLAND
Minnesota
52
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Maryland
68
MARYLAND
Minnesota
72
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terrapins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Gophers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Terrapins (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Golden Gophers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 8, 2026
MD @ MINN
67 - 62
Jan 13, 2025
MINN @ MD
71 - 77
Jan 7, 2024
MD @ MINN
62 - 65
Mar 9, 2023
MINN @ MD
54 - 70
Feb 22, 2023
MINN @ MD
70 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.4% more
Maryland: 12.4
vs
Minnesota: 9.3
Assists (L5)
+77.2% more
Minnesota: 16.4
vs
Maryland: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+41.1% more
Minnesota: 5.5
vs
Maryland: 3.9
Blocks (L5)
+27.3% more
Minnesota: 2.8
vs
Maryland: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MD Score
74.0
67
MINN Score
52.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 31.8
42.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.4 / 9.3
15.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.2
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 41.4
43.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 61.7
57.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
27.5 / 28.8
28.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.5 / 3.9
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 12.4
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
MINN
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MD
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
MD
MINN
MD
ML
48%
16-17
70%
23-10
71%
22-9
67%
22-11
ATS
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
67%
22-11
TTL
52%
17-16
64%
21-12
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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