Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Buckeyes MICH @ OSU

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

21-1  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sun, Feb 8 • 1:00 PM ET
Value City Arena
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

15-7  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
100%
📊
BUCKEYES
0%
WOLVERINES --
BUCKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Ohio State)
WolverinesMICH (-3.5) 0 BuckeyesOSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

0.5%

Buckeyes Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OSU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)

MICH By 1-7 points

0.4%

MICH By 8-14 points

0.0%

OSU By 1-7 points

2.7%

OSU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
75
MICHIGAN
101
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
68
MICHIGAN
72
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buckeyes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes (+9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Buckeyes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Loss
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 OSU @ MICH 67 - 71
Feb 8, 2026 MICH @ OSU 82 - 61
Jan 23, 2026 OSU @ MICH 62 - 74
Feb 16, 2025 MICH @ OSU 86 - 83
Mar 3, 2024 MICH @ OSU 61 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +13.7% more
Ohio State: 4.9 vs Michigan: 4.3
Blocks (L5) +62.9% more
Michigan: 6.2 vs Ohio State: 2.3
Assists (L5) +34.9% more
Michigan: 20.3 vs Ohio State: 13.2
Turnovers (L5) +28.6% more
Michigan: 12.4 vs Ohio State: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MICH Score 75.0 82
OSU Score 101.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 38.2 32.0 / 43.0
Assists 13.2 / 20.3 12.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.3 / 6.2 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 52.0 36.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 81.6 88.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 39.2 31.0 / 43.0
Steals 4.9 / 4.3 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 12.4 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
OSU
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MICH
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
OSU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
MICH
OSU
MICH
ML
53% 18-16
78% 31-9
73% 24-9
63% 24-14
ATS
59% 20-14
78% 31-9
73% 24-9
63% 24-14
TTL
56% 19-15
57% 23-17
100% 33-0
100% 38-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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