Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Bison SCST @ HOW

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

6-16  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 4:30 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

14-9  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
BISON
100%
BULLDOGS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (South Carolina State)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

95.5%

Bison Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SCST -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

SCST By 1-7 points

12.2%

SCST By 8-14 points

23.0%

HOW By 1-7 points

3.3%

HOW By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
97
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
80
HOWARD
Simulated Score
65
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
75
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (-14.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 SCST @ HOW 61 - 78
Feb 7, 2026 SCST @ HOW 57 - 85
Jan 3, 2026 HOW @ SCST 57 - 58
Mar 3, 2025 HOW @ SCST 69 - 79
Feb 3, 2025 SCST @ HOW 89 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +21.6% more
South Carolina State: 5.3 vs Howard: 4.2
Steals (L5) +14.2% more
South Carolina State: 8.4 vs Howard: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
South Carolina State: 34.9% vs Howard: 32.6%
Rebounding (L5) +39.8% more
Howard: 39.9 vs South Carolina State: 28.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 97.0 57
HOW Score 80.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 34.9 42.0 / 27.0
Assists 16.7 / 12.1 22.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.2 / 5.3 7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 43.6 51.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 66.7 78.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 28.5 40.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.2 / 8.4 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 13.8 16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
SCST
HOW
SCST
ML
59% 20-14
61% 19-12
71% 22-9
74% 20-7
ATS
59% 20-14
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
74% 20-7
TTL
62% 21-13
52% 16-15
100% 31-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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