Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vaqueros @ Privateers RGV @ UNO

UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY

VAQUEROSRGV

12-11  |  Road

95
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 6:00 PM ET
Lakefront Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

10-13  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
VAQUEROS
0%
📊
PRIVATEERS
100%
VAQUEROS --
PRIVATEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (UT Rio Grande Valley)
VaquerosRGV (-3.5) 0 PrivateersUNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vaqueros Cover

93.3%

Privateers Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RGV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RGV)

RGV By 1-7 points

15.3%

RGV By 8-14 points

25.3%

UNO By 1-7 points

4.8%

UNO By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
74
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
59
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
72
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
78
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vaqueros Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Privateers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vaqueros (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Privateers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.0 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u151.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 RGV @ UNO 95 - 76
Dec 29, 2025 UNO @ RGV 85 - 69
Mar 1, 2025 UNO @ RGV 78 - 88
Jan 4, 2025 RGV @ UNO 76 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +20.9% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 18.1 vs New Orleans: 14.3
Blocks (L5) +14.8% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 3.9 vs New Orleans: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +9.5%
UT Rio Grande Valley: 85.3% vs New Orleans: 75.8%
Turnovers (L5) +30.1% more
New Orleans: 14.8 vs UT Rio Grande Valley: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RGV Score 74.0 95
UNO Score 59.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.5 / 37.9 22.0 / 42.0
Assists 14.3 / 18.1 13.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.9 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 48.8 44.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 85.3 76.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 34.3 27.0 / 42.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.6 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 11.4 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RGV Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
UNO
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RGV Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
UNO
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
RGV
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.5
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
RGV
UNO
RGV
ML
52% 16-15
53% 16-14
57% 17-13
54% 15-13
ATS
52% 16-15
53% 16-14
57% 17-13
54% 15-13
TTL
58% 18-13
60% 18-12
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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