INCARNATE WORD
CARDINALSUIW
10-13 | Road
64
MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
18-5 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
CARDINALS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MCN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
UIW By 1-7 points
1.7%
UIW By 8-14 points
0.3%
MCN By 1-7 points
8.0%
MCN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Incarnate Word
65
INCARNATE WORD
McNeese
85
MCNEESE
Simulated Score
Incarnate Word
65
INCARNATE WORD
McNeese
78
MCNEESE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UIW @ MCN
64 - 81
Dec 1, 2025
MCN @ UIW
67 - 71
Feb 3, 2025
UIW @ MCN
65 - 67
Feb 24, 2024
UIW @ MCN
71 - 87
Jan 20, 2024
MCN @ UIW
80 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+98.6% more
McNeese: 9.9
vs
Incarnate Word: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+57.1% more
McNeese: 5.6
vs
Incarnate Word: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
McNeese: 11.6
vs
Incarnate Word: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
McNeese: 78.7%
vs
Incarnate Word: 70.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIW Score
65.0
64
MCN Score
85.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 38.3
41.0 / 45.0
Assists
11.6 / 10.1
20.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.6 / 3.6
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 47.8
55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 70.6
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 31.6
23.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.9 / 5.0
12.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.7
6.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
MCN
Advantage
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MCN
UIW
MCN
UIW
ML
67%
22-11
47%
14-16
88%
28-4
76%
22-7
ATS
76%
25-8
53%
16-14
88%
28-4
77%
23-7
TTL
42%
14-19
60%
18-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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