Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Spartans NCCU @ NORF

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

8-12  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 4:30 PM ET
Joseph G. Echols Hall
View Odds Details →

NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

10-14  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
SPARTANS
100%
EAGLES --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (North Carolina Central)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 SpartansNORF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

99.7%

Spartans Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCCU -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCCU)

NCCU By 1-7 points

2.2%

NCCU By 8-14 points

8.0%

NORF By 1-7 points

0.3%

NORF By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
96
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
69
NORFOLK STATE
Simulated Score
71
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
75
NORFOLK STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 NCCU @ NORF 68 - 75
Jan 3, 2026 NORF @ NCCU 67 - 69
Mar 3, 2025 NORF @ NCCU 87 - 91
Feb 3, 2025 NCCU @ NORF 78 - 81
Feb 19, 2024 NCCU @ NORF 74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +28.3% more
North Carolina Central: 16.6 vs Norfolk State: 11.9
Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
North Carolina Central: 48.9% vs Norfolk State: 44.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
North Carolina Central: 36.0% vs Norfolk State: 34.1%
Blocks (L5) +13.2% more
Norfolk State: 3.7 vs North Carolina Central: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 96.0 68
NORF Score 69.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 36.0 33.0 / 28.0
Assists 11.9 / 16.6 8.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.3 1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 48.9 48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.6 / 66.7 78.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 28.3 33.0 / 23.0
Steals 8.7 / 8.1 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 12.0 20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
9%MONEY91%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
NORF
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NORF
NCCU
NORF
NCCU
ML
67% 20-10
65% 20-11
71% 20-8
81% 22-5
ATS
63% 19-11
71% 22-9
72% 21-8
81% 22-5
TTL
60% 18-12
55% 17-14
100% 29-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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