Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Wolves JAX @ WGA

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

9-15  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
The Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

10-13  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
WOLVES
0%
DOLPHINS --
WOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (West Georgia)
DolphinsJAX (-3.5) 0 WolvesWGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

34.5%

Wolves Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WGA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)

JAX By 1-7 points

20.1%

JAX By 8-14 points

9.3%

WGA By 1-7 points

27.4%

WGA By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
JACKSONVILLE
71
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
78
JACKSONVILLE
72
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dolphins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolves (+1) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Dolphins (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.0 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u138.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 JAX @ WGA 73 - 87
Jan 10, 2026 WGA @ JAX 43 - 75
Jan 23, 2025 JAX @ WGA 79 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +105.4% more
West Georgia: 5.7 vs Jacksonville: 2.8
Assists (L5) +48.0% more
West Georgia: 12.2 vs Jacksonville: 8.3
Steals (L5) +27.2% more
West Georgia: 7.8 vs Jacksonville: 6.1
Rebounding (L5) +15.6% more
West Georgia: 36.5 vs Jacksonville: 31.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 67.0 73
WGA Score 71.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 31.4 33.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.2 / 8.3 11.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.7 / 2.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 46.7 49.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 64.7 / 76.5 72.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 31.6 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.8 / 6.1 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 7.9 / 11.8 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
WGA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
JAX
WGA
JAX
ML
58% 18-13
74% 23-8
61% 19-12
60% 18-12
ATS
71% 22-9
65% 20-11
61% 19-12
61% 19-12
TTL
55% 17-14
65% 20-11
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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