LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
10-14 | Road
67
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
8-16 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
CRUSADERS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
LEH By 1-7 points
26.2%
LEH By 8-14 points
25.3%
HC By 1-7 points
15.3%
HC By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
67
LEHIGH
Holy Cross
60
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Lehigh
68
LEHIGH
Holy Cross
72
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crusaders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Crusaders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.0
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u137.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
HC @ LEH
66 - 69
Feb 7, 2026
LEH @ HC
67 - 76
Jan 7, 2026
HC @ LEH
58 - 66
Feb 15, 2025
HC @ LEH
60 - 72
Feb 1, 2025
LEH @ HC
69 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+44.6% more
Lehigh: 16.4
vs
Holy Cross: 9.1
Turnovers (L5)
+43.9% more
Lehigh: 13.5
vs
Holy Cross: 7.6
Blocks (L5)
+25.8% more
Lehigh: 3.3
vs
Holy Cross: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+19.1% more
Lehigh: 6.9
vs
Holy Cross: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
67.0
67
HC Score
60.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 39.7
42.0 / 15.0
Assists
9.1 / 16.4
12.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 46.6
48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 70.0
83.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 33.4
35.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.9
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
7.6 / 13.5
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
LEH
HC
LEH
ML
52%
16-15
56%
19-15
61%
19-12
68%
23-11
ATS
55%
17-14
56%
19-15
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
TTL
58%
18-13
76%
26-8
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
