NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
8-13 | Road
57
VERMONT
CATAMOUNTSUVM
14-10 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
CATAMOUNTS
100%
WILDCATS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVM +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
UNH By 1-7 points
27.2%
UNH By 8-14 points
20.1%
UVM By 1-7 points
21.6%
UVM By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New Hampshire
73
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Vermont
70
VERMONT
Simulated Score
New Hampshire
60
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Vermont
72
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.0
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u138.0
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UNH @ UVM
57 - 80
Jan 3, 2026
UVM @ UNH
80 - 61
Mar 8, 2025
UNH @ UVM
57 - 64
Feb 13, 2025
UNH @ UVM
59 - 79
Jan 4, 2025
UVM @ UNH
60 - 40
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+49.8% more
New Hampshire: 7.4
vs
Vermont: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.2%
New Hampshire: 71.0%
vs
Vermont: 68.8%
Blocks (L5)
+128.2% more
Vermont: 3.7
vs
New Hampshire: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNH Score
73.0
57
UVM Score
70.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 32.1
38.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.9 / 12.9
20.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.6
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 43.8
45.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 71.0
82.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 33.4
40.0 / 32.0
Steals
3.7 / 7.4
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 10.1
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
Advantage
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
UVM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
UNH
UVM
UNH
ML
56%
19-15
70%
19-8
65%
22-12
74%
20-7
ATS
62%
21-13
67%
18-9
65%
22-12
74%
20-7
TTL
47%
16-18
59%
16-11
100%
34-0
100%
27-0
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