MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
6-18 | Road
67
BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
7-16 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
BLACK BEARS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
MAINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Maine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ME -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ME)
ME By 1-7 points
0.0%
ME By 8-14 points
0.1%
BRY By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
79
MAINE
Bryant
34
BRYANT
Simulated Score
Maine
68
MAINE
Bryant
75
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Black Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Black Bears (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u128.0
Loss
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim
u128.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
ME @ BRY
67 - 73
Jan 3, 2026
BRY @ ME
56 - 51
Mar 15, 2025
ME @ BRY
59 - 79
Mar 1, 2025
BRY @ ME
80 - 72
Jan 4, 2025
ME @ BRY
55 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.2% more
Maine: 8.6
vs
Bryant: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+18.6% more
Maine: 16.0
vs
Bryant: 13.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
Maine: 50.6%
vs
Bryant: 43.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Maine: 38.9%
vs
Bryant: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
79.0
67
BRY Score
34.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 38.9
35.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.0 / 16.0
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.5
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 50.6
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 70.4
81.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 22.4
39.0 / 23.0
Steals
4.8 / 8.6
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 9.0
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
BRY
Advantage
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
ME
BRY
ME
ML
70%
21-9
45%
14-17
80%
24-6
52%
16-15
ATS
73%
22-8
55%
17-14
80%
24-6
52%
16-15
TTL
67%
20-10
55%
17-14
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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