NORTH FLORIDA
OSPREYSUNF
6-18 | Road
72
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
13-11 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
100%
ROYALS
0%
OSPREYS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
UNF By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNF By 8-14 points
0.0%
QUC By 1-7 points
0.0%
QUC By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
North Florida
60
NORTH FLORIDA
Queens University
105
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
North Florida
74
NORTH FLORIDA
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u178.5
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u178.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UNF @ QUC
72 - 91
Jan 10, 2026
QUC @ UNF
89 - 82
Jan 23, 2025
UNF @ QUC
90 - 81
Feb 14, 2024
UNF @ QUC
93 - 79
Jan 20, 2024
QUC @ UNF
75 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+125.6% more
Queens University: 6.2
vs
North Florida: 2.7
Blocks (L5)
+19.3% more
Queens University: 2.0
vs
North Florida: 1.7
Turnovers (L5)
+37.7% more
North Florida: 13.0
vs
Queens University: 8.1
Rebounding (L5)
+21.4% more
North Florida: 38.6
vs
Queens University: 30.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNF Score
60.0
72
QUC Score
105.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 39.2
33.0 / 44.0
Assists
14.0 / 15.8
14.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.7
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 49.1
50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 81.2
100.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 38.6
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.2 / 2.7
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 13.0
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
UNF
QUC
UNF
ML
71%
25-10
69%
22-10
71%
24-10
66%
21-11
ATS
86%
30-5
69%
22-10
71%
24-10
66%
21-11
TTL
47%
16-18-1
66%
21-11
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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