Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Kings CLE @ SAC

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

31-21  |  Road

132
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

12-41  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
CAVALIERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
250.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

42.1%

Kings Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

CLE By 1-7 points

26.8%

CLE By 8-14 points

18.6%

SAC By 1-7 points

23.0%

SAC By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
126
CLEVELAND
124
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
112
CLEVELAND
115
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+14) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o229.5 Win
Proj Total: 250.0
D
Sim u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 CLE @ SAC 132 - 126
Jan 23, 2026 SAC @ CLE 118 - 123
Apr 6, 2025 SAC @ CLE 120 - 113
Mar 19, 2025 CLE @ SAC 119 - 123
Feb 5, 2024 SAC @ CLE 110 - 136
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +46.7% more
Cleveland: 13.6 vs Sacramento: 7.2
Assists (L5) +27.4% more
Cleveland: 32.3 vs Sacramento: 23.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Cleveland: 39.6% vs Sacramento: 31.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Cleveland: 51.0% vs Sacramento: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 126.0 132
SAC Score 124.0 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 39.6 43.0 / 31.0
Assists 23.4 / 32.3 30.0 / 30.0
Blocks 5.1 / 4.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 51.0 51.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 86.1 / 70.6 70.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 43.3 42.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.2 / 13.6 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 13.5 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
SAC Advantage
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
CLE
SAC
CLE
ML
55% 55-45
60% 69-46
61% 50-32
56% 55-44
ATS
54% 52-45-3
67% 75-37-3
61% 50-32
56% 55-44
TTL
58% 57-42-1
59% 68-47
100% 82-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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