PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
29-22 | Road
109
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
31-21 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
SUNS
100%
76ERS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
PHX By 1-7 points
24.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
116
PHILADELPHIA
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
Phoenix
122
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o225.5
Loss
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
PHI @ PHX
109 - 103
Jan 20, 2026
PHX @ PHI
116 - 110
Jan 6, 2025
PHX @ PHI
109 - 99
Nov 4, 2024
PHI @ PHX
116 - 118
Mar 20, 2024
PHI @ PHX
102 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.8% more
Philadelphia: 3.3
vs
Phoenix: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+14.3% more
Philadelphia: 27.5
vs
Phoenix: 23.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Philadelphia: 83.0%
vs
Phoenix: 75.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Philadelphia: 49.7%
vs
Phoenix: 46.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
116.0
109
PHX Score
115.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 32.9
24.0 / 38.0
Assists
23.6 / 27.5
22.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.3
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 49.7
40.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 83.0
84.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 40.0
40.0 / 50.0
Steals
10.5 / 10.5
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.0
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
PHI
PHX
PHI
ML
57%
60-45
63%
69-40
51%
45-43
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
59-43-3
65%
71-38
51%
45-43
48%
45-48
TTL
59%
61-42-2
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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