CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
8-16 | Road
66
CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
11-13 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
ROADRUNNERS
100%
TITANS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUF -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)
CSUB By 1-7 points
3.3%
CSUB By 8-14 points
0.6%
CSUF By 1-7 points
12.2%
CSUF By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Bakersfield
79
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Cal State Fullerton
96
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
Cal State Bakersfield
68
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Cal State Fullerton
75
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Titans (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
CSUF @ CSUB
88 - 80
Feb 7, 2026
CSUB @ CSUF
66 - 82
Feb 15, 2025
CSUF @ CSUB
54 - 91
Jan 23, 2025
CSUB @ CSUF
71 - 68
Feb 10, 2024
CSUF @ CSUB
71 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+42.8% more
Cal State Fullerton: 8.2
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 5.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Cal State Fullerton: 44.2%
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 40.6%
Blocks (L5)
+36.7% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 4.8
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 3.0
Turnovers (L5)
+21.4% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 15.4
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUB Score
79.0
66
CSUF Score
96.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 32.4
35.0 / 23.0
Assists
12.1 / 11.8
20.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.8
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 40.6
42.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 76.0
74.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 35.5
41.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 15.4
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUB
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
CSUF
Advantage
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUB
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
CSUB
CSUF
CSUB
ML
68%
23-11
55%
17-14
76%
26-8
71%
22-9
ATS
68%
23-11
61%
19-12
76%
26-8
71%
22-9
TTL
59%
20-14
58%
18-13
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
