AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
MONARCHS
100%
BOBCATS
--
MONARCHS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OHIO -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
OHIO By 1-7 points
4.0%
OHIO By 8-14 points
12.2%
ODU By 1-7 points
0.6%
ODU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Ohio
81
OHIO
Old Dominion
57
OLD DOMINION
Simulated Score
Ohio
68
OHIO
Old Dominion
72
OLD DOMINION
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Monarchs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Monarchs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
OHIO @ ODU
72 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.4% more
Ohio: 14.2
vs
Old Dominion: 12.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Ohio: 77.1%
vs
Old Dominion: 71.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Ohio: 46.7%
vs
Old Dominion: 41.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Ohio: 32.1%
vs
Old Dominion: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score
81.0
72
ODU Score
57.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 32.1
46.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.0 / 14.2
15.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 46.7
45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 77.1
89.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 34.2
36.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.1
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 9.3
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
ODU
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
ODU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ODU
OHIO
ODU
OHIO
ML
52%
17-16
65%
20-11
67%
22-11
63%
19-11
ATS
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
63%
19-11
TTL
70%
23-10
61%
19-12
100%
33-0
100%
30-0