Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Hornets PRST @ SAC

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

15-6  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Hornet Pavilion
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO STATE

HORNETSSAC

9-13  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
VIKINGS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Portland State)
VikingsPRST (-3.5) 0 HornetsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

99.4%

Hornets Cover

0.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRST -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)

PRST By 1-7 points

3.3%

PRST By 8-14 points

10.7%

SAC By 1-7 points

0.5%

SAC By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
85
PORTLAND STATE
60
SACRAMENTO STATE
Simulated Score
68
PORTLAND STATE
72
SACRAMENTO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vikings (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 PRST @ SAC 74 - 73
Jan 10, 2026 SAC @ PRST 69 - 96
Mar 3, 2025 SAC @ PRST 56 - 59
Jan 4, 2025 PRST @ SAC 53 - 56
Mar 2, 2024 PRST @ SAC 61 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +9.9% more
Portland State: 3.4 vs Sacramento State: 3.1
Assists (L5) +21.4% more
Sacramento State: 17.6 vs Portland State: 14.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.7%
Sacramento State: 46.2% vs Portland State: 36.5%
Turnovers (L5) +9.3% more
Sacramento State: 11.4 vs Portland State: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRST Score 85.0 74
SAC Score 60.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 46.2 / 36.5 45.0 / 20.0
Assists 17.6 / 14.5 12.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.4 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 52.1 / 48.2 35.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 73.2 83.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 31.9 / 31.1 32.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.3 / 9.7 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.5 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
SAC
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
SAC
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
SAC
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
PRST
SAC
PRST
ML
57% 17-13
65% 20-11
87% 26-4
71% 22-9
ATS
73% 22-8
71% 22-9
87% 27-4
71% 22-9
TTL
60% 18-12
47% 14-16-1
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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