DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
33-19 | Road
136
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-28 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
NUGGETS
100%
BULLS
0%
NUGGETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
DEN By 1-7 points
23.0%
DEN By 8-14 points
12.2%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
120
DENVER
Chicago
122
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Denver
105
DENVER
Chicago
120
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o234.5
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
DEN @ CHI
136 - 120
Nov 17, 2025
CHI @ DEN
130 - 127
Oct 14, 2025
CHI @ DEN
117 - 124
Mar 24, 2025
CHI @ DEN
129 - 119
Jan 27, 2025
DEN @ CHI
121 - 129
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.5% more
Chicago: 15.7
vs
Denver: 13.5
Blocks (L5)
+11.8% more
Chicago: 5.9
vs
Denver: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Denver: 46.5%
vs
Chicago: 43.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
120.0
136
CHI Score
122.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 36.2
39.0 / 48.0
Assists
26.8 / 26.1
25.0 / 37.0
Blocks
5.9 / 5.3
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 46.5
45.0 / 58.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 80.0
90.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 45.0
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.5
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 13.5
17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DEN
CHI
DEN
ML
56%
54-42
54%
57-48
57%
46-35
55%
47-39
ATS
65%
62-33-1
63%
65-38-2
57%
46-35
55%
47-39
TTL
58%
56-40
54%
56-48-1
100%
81-0
100%
86-0
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