UTAH
JAZZUTAH
16-36 | Road
117
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
26-24 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
MAGIC
0%
JAZZ
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
254.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
UTAH By 1-7 points
13.7%
UTAH By 8-14 points
4.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
25.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
123
UTAH
Orlando
131
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Utah
108
UTAH
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o234.5
Win
Proj Total: 254.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UTAH @ ORL
117 - 120
Dec 20, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
128 - 127
Feb 1, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
99 - 113
Jan 5, 2025
UTAH @ ORL
105 - 92
Feb 29, 2024
UTAH @ ORL
107 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.3% more
Orlando: 6.3
vs
Utah: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
Orlando: 85.6%
vs
Utah: 71.1%
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Utah: 44.0
vs
Orlando: 39.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Utah: 37.1%
vs
Orlando: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
123.0
117
ORL Score
131.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 37.1
32.0 / 32.0
Assists
27.1 / 26.9
26.0 / 30.0
Blocks
6.3 / 4.3
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 48.1
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
85.6 / 71.1
81.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 44.0
38.0 / 54.0
Steals
10.0 / 9.3
15.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 13.9
14.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
UTAH
ORL
UTAH
ML
61%
65-42
60%
96-63
56%
51-40
48%
40-43
ATS
64%
68-38-1
68%
108-51
56%
51-40
48%
40-43
TTL
57%
61-46
75%
119-39-1
100%
91-0
100%
83-0
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