WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
14-36 | Road
113
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
13-37 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
NETS
0%
WIZARDS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
WSH By 1-7 points
6.8%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.7%
BKN By 1-7 points
18.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
112
WASHINGTON
Brooklyn
125
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Washington
110
WASHINGTON
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.5
Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ BKN
115 - 121
Feb 7, 2026
WSH @ BKN
113 - 127
Jan 2, 2026
BKN @ WSH
99 - 119
Nov 16, 2025
BKN @ WSH
129 - 106
Mar 29, 2025
BKN @ WSH
115 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.2% more
Brooklyn: 18.6
vs
Washington: 15.7
Blocks (L5)
+54.6% more
Washington: 5.1
vs
Brooklyn: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+29.2% more
Washington: 8.9
vs
Brooklyn: 6.3
Assists (L5)
+11.0% more
Washington: 26.5
vs
Brooklyn: 23.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
112.0
113
BKN Score
125.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 38.3
34.0 / 37.0
Assists
23.6 / 26.5
36.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.3 / 5.1
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 47.4
55.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 67.3
74.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
41.9 / 42.0
45.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.9
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
18.6 / 15.7
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
WSH
BKN
WSH
ML
53%
50-45
70%
112-49
59%
48-34
47%
39-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
69%
111-49-1
59%
48-34
47%
39-44
TTL
57%
54-41
74%
119-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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