NIAGARA
PURPLE EAGLESNIA
6-17 | Road
55
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
16-9 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
PURPLE EAGLES
100%
BOBCATS
0%
PURPLE EAGLES
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
NIA By 1-7 points
0.8%
NIA By 8-14 points
0.1%
QUIN By 1-7 points
4.8%
QUIN By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Niagara
56
NIAGARA
Quinnipiac
79
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Niagara
68
NIAGARA
Quinnipiac
73
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (-13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
QUIN @ NIA
76 - 78
Feb 7, 2026
NIA @ QUIN
55 - 56
Feb 8, 2025
NIA @ QUIN
76 - 75
Feb 18, 2024
NIA @ QUIN
80 - 66
Dec 3, 2023
QUIN @ NIA
75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+156.5% more
Quinnipiac: 4.9
vs
Niagara: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+23.2% more
Quinnipiac: 6.6
vs
Niagara: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
Quinnipiac: 36.9
vs
Niagara: 31.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
Quinnipiac: 69.5%
vs
Niagara: 64.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIA Score
56.0
55
QUIN Score
79.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 39.8
36.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.5
13.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.9 / 1.9
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 47.0
30.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 64.6
75.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 31.9
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.4
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.4
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIA
8-22-0
(26.7%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIA
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
NIA
QUIN
NIA
ML
66%
21-11
55%
16-13
53%
17-15
72%
21-8
ATS
59%
19-13
69%
20-9
53%
17-15
72%
21-8
TTL
62%
20-12
55%
16-13
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
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