UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
9-15 | Road
89
UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
8-16 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
GREAT DANES
0%
RIVER HAWKS
--
GREAT DANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
UALBANY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (UAlbany)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UALB -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UALB)
UML By 1-7 points
1.1%
UML By 8-14 points
0.1%
UALB By 1-7 points
5.8%
UALB By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UMass Lowell
73
UMASS LOWELL
UAlbany
95
UALBANY
Simulated Score
UMass Lowell
70
UMASS LOWELL
UAlbany
75
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Great Danes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Great Danes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Great Danes (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Great Danes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
UALB @ UML
76 - 81
Feb 7, 2026
UML @ UALB
89 - 79
Jan 3, 2026
UALB @ UML
71 - 83
Feb 13, 2025
UALB @ UML
90 - 88
Jan 4, 2025
UML @ UALB
73 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+93.2% more
UAlbany: 8.2
vs
UMass Lowell: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+64.6% more
UAlbany: 13.3
vs
UMass Lowell: 8.1
Blocks (L5)
+46.6% more
UAlbany: 4.8
vs
UMass Lowell: 3.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
UAlbany: 33.5%
vs
UMass Lowell: 25.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UML Score
73.0
89
UALB Score
95.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 25.0
31.0 / 54.0
Assists
13.3 / 8.1
11.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.3
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 41.4
50.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
62.3 / 70.9
62.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 41.8
26.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.2 / 4.3
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.6
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
UML
UALB
UML
ML
55%
17-14
70%
23-10
71%
22-9
58%
19-14
ATS
77%
24-7
70%
23-10
72%
23-9
58%
19-14
TTL
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
