AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
PHOENIX
100%
TITANS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DETM -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
DETM By 1-7 points
0.1%
DETM By 8-14 points
1.1%
GB By 1-7 points
0.0%
GB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
80
DETROIT MERCY
Green Bay
43
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
65
DETROIT MERCY
Green Bay
78
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-4)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.0
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u148.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
GB @ DETM
70 - 74
Feb 7, 2026
DETM @ GB
63 - 76
Feb 27, 2025
DETM @ GB
71 - 76
Feb 1, 2025
GB @ DETM
57 - 67
Jan 27, 2024
DETM @ GB
64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.2% more
Detroit Mercy: 5.8
vs
Green Bay: 4.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 36.8
vs
Green Bay: 32.1
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Detroit Mercy: 15.4
vs
Green Bay: 14.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Detroit Mercy: 43.9%
vs
Green Bay: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
80.0
63
GB Score
43.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.7 / 43.9
33.0 / 43.0
Assists
14.0 / 15.4
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.6
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 50.5
41.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 77.2
87.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 36.8
39.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.4 / 5.8
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.2
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
GB
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
DETM
GB
DETM
ML
48%
16-17
58%
18-13
67%
22-11
50%
15-15
ATS
52%
17-16
61%
19-12
67%
22-11
50%
15-15
TTL
58%
19-14
61%
19-12
100%
33-0
100%
30-0